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Tuesday, November 30, 2010

WikiLeaks, Gold and Silver

November 30, 2010


By James West
MidasLetter.com  
November 30, 2010




I’ve always occupied the emotional frequencies ranging between disgusted and outraged when it comes to WikiLeaks. Regardless of your stance on governments and sovereign interference, putting the lives of human beings at risk by exposing their participation in intelligence programs is aiding and abetting in murder. The psychotic fundamentalists that perpetuate the bulk of the violent crimes on its own and foreign citizens need not be encouraged by the provision of a list of fresh targets by idealistic or simply amoral grandstanders desperate for attention.

Swathed in the self-assigned robes of righteous guardian and revealer of truths, WikiLeaks braves incarceration threats, smear campaigns (Swedish investigation of WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange on sexual abuse charges), and direct attacks on its I.T. infrastructure by intelligence agencies tasked with sabotaging the WikiLeaks site accessibility and functionality.

However, now somewhat consumed with the audacity of WikiLeaks, I’ve embarked on a part time mission to understand and assess whether in fact WikiLeaks is essentially misanthropic or altruistic in nature. My conclusion, after much research, is the latter.

In fact, anyone who spends any amount of time going over the information that has been brought to light by WikiLeaks is incapable of objectively concluding that there has been anything released at all the would constitute a direct threat to any individual’s security. The only security being compromised is that surrounding various governments’ attempts to gain advantage through covert activities against one another.

The bottom line is the WikiLeaks web site is ground zero for a re-emergent function of the free press, wherein public pressure is applied to entities like the United States who act unethically and immorally to destabilize governments, instigate revolt and sew discontent in populations where it regards regime change, or other significant political outcomes, to its advantage.

By exposing the extent of the unilateral actions of the United States in flagrant disregard for human life or sovereign autonomy, it makes it much more difficult for American covert agencies like the CIA to operate and receive funding, as the exposed information increases public outrage over such tactics.

The government of the United States and its allies are now engaged in a broad based campaign to restrict the international travel of Julian Assange and paint him as a traitor. But the question as to who is traitor must be asked in light of the arbitrary murder and assassinations that come to light in the revelations of the WikiLeaked information.

Hawks decry the release of classified information insisting that covert operations are crucial to the success of American military efforts to protect freedom and democracy. But if my freedom and democratic process must come at the cost of millions of lives of innocents in other countries, then thanks, but no thanks. To undertake murder on grand scale and shroud it in the mantle of the fight for freedom is the and always has been the essence of fascism. If anything, I’ve learned that WikiLeaks is a great source of education for just how deeply a fascist imperative dominates U.S. politics these days.

Now comes the news that Assange and WikiLeaks plan to reveal ‘flagrant violations’ at a major U.S. bank.

Whether ‘flagrant violations” amounts to fraud remains to be seen, according to Assange.

“It will give a true and representative insight into how banks behave at the executive level in a way that will stimulate investigations and reforms, I presume,” he told Forbes.

I can’t think of a more welcome development, in the context of the public interest, than the existence of a safe and secure anonymous ‘electronic drop box’ as WikiLeaks classifies its system, to accommodate whistleblowers who want to expose transgressions by leaders in both government and commerce.

Take, for example, the decade-plus long efforts by the Gold Anti-trust Action Committee, whose core premise is that the prices of gold and silver have long been subject to manipulation both to provide an unfair profit advantage to certain financially institutions, but also to influence the perception of citizens at large as to the health of the U.S. Dollar and the American economy.

Growing evidence and opinion supports the idea that illegal and unethical manipulation of gold, silver, and who knows what other markets has long existed. Even CFTC Commissioner Bart Chilton has opined that, “There have been fraudulent efforts to persuade and deviously control that price,” he said in reference the silver futures market.

What has long been absent, is abundant document evidence from within the banks who are allegedly behind the price manipulation schemes. Imagine how much easier the efforts of GATA Chairman William Murphy and CFTC Chairman Gary Gensler would be if such documents were available from a source such as WikiLeaks?

One can certainly make arguments that the severity of market bubble implosions like the tech market in 2001 and real estate in 2008 are partially exacerbated by such manipulations, in that they provide an apparent foundation to support the issuance of more currency and lower interest rates to fuel leveraged speculation.

If these illegal and unethical practices can be unequivocally exposed, and thus stopped, there is no doubt that a more secure and equitable global financial system would be the result.

Gold and silver are important barometers in a financial world dominated by fiat currencies backed by nothing physical. There unfettered ability to trade freely is in the international interest, not just the national interest. Those eventually discovered to be guilty of such manipulation should be charged and tried for treason, with the appropriate sentences fully applied.

But, unfortunately for Julian Assange, it is WikiLeaks credibility that is being called into question.

As an Australian national, pressure is being applied to the Australian government by the U.S. government to find a way to convict Assange of espionage.

U.S. Attorney-General Eric Holder confirmed that an investigation run jointly by the Justice Department and the Pentagon was underway.

”This is not sabre-rattling,” Mr Holder said. ”To the extent that we can find anybody who was involved in the breaking of American law … they will be held responsible. They will be held accountable. To the extent there are gaps in our laws, we will move to close those gaps.”

If only such indignant scrutiny was directed at the U.S. government and its financial services industry. We might finally, after hundreds of years, end the search for responsible government.

James West is the publisher of the highly influential and widely respected Midas Letter at midasletter.com. MidasLetter specializes in identifying emerging companies in gold and silver exploration at the beginning of their share price appreciation curves, and regularly delivers 10 baggers (stocks that increase in value by at least a factor of 10) to his premium subscribers.

  • Until December 31st, Subscribe right now for only $39 per month. After that the price increases to $49 per month.





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Rapidly Escalating Euro Crisis Threatens Financial Armageddon III



By Chris Laird
Nov 30 2010 2:53PM
www.prudentsquirrel.com




Financial Armageddon I was in 2007. Financial Armageddon II was in 2008. Is Financial Armageddon III in 2010 or early 2011 because of the EU bond crisis?

While financial markets try to digest whether inflation can be rekindled along with stock markets, the escalating EU debt crisis is spiraling out of control. The USD rallies along with gold, although gold is also reacting to market sell off pressures and is not as high as it might be.

The fact is, with Germany and France resisting investor bailouts, investors are selling all manner of EU bonds, and Spain, Italy, Ireland bond rates are rising daily, even the day after the latest bailout of Ireland, which caused a brief respite that lasted all of half a day Monday.

This shows that the roughly 1.2 trillion Euro rescue package created during the Greek crisis months ago is not working. The EU pledging another $110 billion worth of aid for Ireland has little if any effect.

We hear brave statements from Spain (I commend the bravery) that they will not be forced into more trouble by the bond markets who don’t believe the EU is solvent as a whole.

Yeah but France and Germany wanted a weaker Euro?

Funny thing is, France a year ago used to complain about the strong Euro, but now with the Euro breaking down, France and Germany are in a quandary of what to do. If they agree to more bailouts, investors barely yawn. Then the selling begins anew.

If the EU decision makers, including Germany especially, don’t do more bailouts, and try to get investors (laugh) to take losses, then the bond markets dump the troubled countries’ bonds. Germany and France and the EU proponents are in an impossible situation.

What is that situation and how bad is it for the Euro?

We need to remember that in Fall and Winter 2007, then a year later in Fall 2008, the general bank crisis spreading first in the US banks with the Bear and Lehman failures led to two almost total world bank collapses. We are facing round 3 of that challenge now. I am wondering about the similarity in timing comparing the evolution of the Bear debacle over 6 months that led to Financial Armageddon I in 2007.

Was Greece like a little Bear Stearns, and maybe 6 months later another massive crisis that Bear revealed growing, Greece in this case months ago? (IE did the Greek crisis presage the much larger and same crisis breaking now in the EU with Spain perhaps?)

So … after a brief recovery after March 2009, markets are now facing their worst sovereign debt crisis, centered in the EU, since WW2 ended. In fact, the IMF and other authorities are saying they are facing many of the same bank and credit collapse situations they faced in the 1930s. IE a banking and solvency crisis.

The EU is in a broad sovereign debt crisis now which is escalating.

Also, in spite of new US QE of $600 billion coming online, the USD is rallying and rallying stronger than even gold was.

And, gold and the USD are rallying together, and this combination accompanied the buildup to the last two bank crises of 2007 and 2008, and also during the Greek crisis of 2010, thought initially to have been brought under control….

Is this flight to safety in the USD and gold warning of another imminent EU bank crisis where banks are threatened with flight withdrawals?

That combined with rising bond spreads in the EU will force the EU to the wall. It is at the wall now and facing a day of reckoning.

In any case, Prudent Squirrel subscribers were warned of the latest turn on the USD and commodity markets when we told subscribers we thought the USD had bottomed several weeks ago. That turned out to be a prescient call.

The Prudent Squirrel newsletter is our financial and gold commentary. Subscribers get 44 newsletters a year on Sundays, and also mid-week email alerts as needed. The alerts include quick notification of important financial news developments by email. Subscribers tell us that the alerts alone are worth subscribing for.

We have anticipated many significant market moves in the last year, such as imminent drops in world stock markets within days of them happening, and big swings in the gold markets within days of them occurring. We have also made a number of good calls on big currency swings, such as with the USD, the Euro and the Yen.
We invite you to stop by and have a look.

Christopher Laird
Editor-in-Chief
www.PrudentSquirrel.com



****


Disclaimer: Chris Laird is not an investment advisor/professional. This article, and the PrudentSquirrel newsletter and alerts, are general market commentary only. They are not intended as specific advice. You should talk to your own investment professionals for specific advice. Information here is deemed reliable but should be verified by you if you think it’s important.

Copyright 2010




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More Coin News at a Glance – November 30, 2010

By CoinLink on Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Filed Under: Coin News Daily





Sedwick Treasure auction No. 8 realizes $1.3 million
Coin Values

All prices here reflect the 18 percent buyer’s fee, which is discounted to 15 percent for cash payments. The auction offered shipwreck-recovered coins and bars, as well as Mexican and other Spanish colonial coins, plus English, world, U.S. and ancient coins. The 2,789-lot auction was called the firm’s “biggest yet.” Three hundred thirty-six lots, or 12 percent, did not sell.
[ Read Full Article]

Early coin from China’s first-ever modern mint is estimated at $60,000
Paul Fraser Collectibles

An historic piece of Chinese numismatic history is auctioning in Hong Kong, and online. A late-19th century Chinese coin is expected to sell for the equivalent of tens of thousands of dollars in Hong Kong, tomorrow (December 1), at Champion Hong Kong’s auction. The piece is question is an undated Hina-Kwangtung coin from 1889 from the first set of coins ever made at China’s first modern mint.
[ Read Full Article]

Canadian 2010 Crystal Snowflake Silver Coins Near Sell Out
Silver Coins Today

Two recently released 99.99% pure silver coins featuring a unique crystal snowflake design are almost sold out, the Royal Canadian Mint advised customers late last week. Sales of the Mint’s $20 Blue Crystal Snowflake and $20 Tanzanite Crystal Snowflake have each passed 90% of their maximum mintage, which is 15,000 across both options. The two silver coins were released by the Royal Canadian Mint in October along with its other final 2010 issues.
[ Read Full Article]

CFA Review of 2012 America the Beautiful Quarter Designs
Coin Update News

Although the America the Beautiful Quarters Program just completed its first year of release, design candidates have already been prepared and reviewed for the third year of the series. The 2012 America the Beautiful Quarters will feature El Yunque National Forest in Puerto Rico, Chaco Culture National Historic Park in New Mexico, Acadia National Park in Maine, Hawaii Volcanoes National Park in Hawaii, and Denali National Park in Alaska.
[ Read Full Article]


New Coins from Latvia and France
The E-Sylum

Latvia has issued a coin containing a small piece of amber. The coin was issued on Nov. 15. The coin has a face value of 1 lat. France has issued 100 Euro circulating coin. It is being issued at face value hence it can be truly called a circulation coin. This is the third and last year for an innovative concept: renewing usage of precious metals as circulation coins. This tradition was started in 1960 with the silver 5 Franc coin, and was abandoned with the demise of the Franc.
[ Read Full Article]


Micro Nations Prosper in Coins
Numismaster

Numismatic Guaranty Corporation ancient coin authenticator David Vagi has joked with me about a fictitious country he calls Gurkistan. World coin dealer Allen Berman is well known for promoting the mysterious kingdom of Bermania. There are more places than you might think that exist in someone’s mind, but their physical existence may be limited to fantasy coins or perhaps to some place that may only be visible at low tide.
[ Read Full Article]




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  Coinlink.com, founded in 1995, has evolved into one of the most comprehensive coin news and reference sites on the Web. The site makes our list because of its outstanding news aggregator, which is a cross between a news feed and a hundred-author blog. Coinlink is a true labor of love by longtime collector Scott Purvis.


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William Pannier Collection of Historic, Rare California Bank Notes Offered By Goldbergs

By Goldberg Coins on Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Filed Under: Auction News, Banknotes, Featured, Goldberg Auctions, History and Numismatics



More than 100 Orange County California bank notes from the collection of the late William (“Willie”) Pannier will be among the highlights of the pre-Long Beach Expo auction to be conducted by Ira & Larry Goldberg Coins and Collectibles in Beverly Hills, California, January 31 – February 2, 2011.

“These historic, Southern California large and small-size notes have been off the market for decades in his collection. There are several unique and serial number one examples,” said Larry Goldberg, partner with his cousin, Ira, in the auction firm.


Photo Caption: The First National Bank of Santa Ana, 1902 $10 Red Seal, PCGS Currency VG10, unique, the only known Red Seal from Orange County California, is one of the highlights of the William Pannier Collection to be offered in an auction by Ira & Larry Goldberg Coins & Collectibles, January 31 – February 2, 2011. Photo credit: Lyle Engelson for Ira & Larry Goldberg Coins & Collectibles

Pannier, who died in August at the age of 66, was the long-time owner of Fullerton Coin & Stamp Company, the oldest coin and stamp store in Orange County California. Well-known collector and real estate developer Dwight Manley worked at the shop on weekends as a teenager, and considers Pannier a beloved numismatic mentor.

Pannier began collecting silver certificate notes in the late 1960s and then became interested in Orange County currency, according to his brother David.
“We were second generation Orange County residents. Orange County was in our roots. Some of the notes were displayed at the store, but he kept the more pricey things at home. He always tried to upgrade the notes or get a lower serial number for his collection,” David Pannier recalled.

Highlights of the Orange County California bank notes in the Goldberg’s auction include:

  • The First National Bank of Fullerton, 1882 $10 Value Back, graded PCGS Currency VF30, the finest of only three known Value Backs from the entire county;
  • The Farmers & Merchants National Bank of Santa Ana, 1902 $20 Date Back, PCGS Currency VF20PPQ, one of only four known from the bank;
  • The First National Bank of La Habra, 1902 $10 Plain Back, PCGS Currency VG10, one of only two known from the town;
  • The National Bank of Orange, 1902 $10 Date Back, PCGS Currency Very Choice New 64, the finest known large size note from this bank;
  • The Placentia National Bank of Placentia, 1902 $10 Plain Back, PCGS Currency VF25, one of only seven notes known from the town;
  • First National Trust & Savings Bank of Fullerton, 1902 $10 Plain Back, PCGS Currency F12, one of only four known large size notes from this bank;
  • The First National Bank of Santa Ana, 1902 $10 Red Seal, PCGS Currency VG10, unique, the only known Red Seal from Orange County California;
  • The First National Bank of Garden Grove, 1902 $5 Plain Back, PCGS Currency F15, one of only 10 large size notes known from the town;
  • The First National Bank of Santa Ana, 1929 $10 Type 1, PCGS Currency VF20, the only known serial number 1 on a Santa Ana note;
  • The First National Bank of Tustin, 1929 $10 Type I, PCGS Currency VF20;
  • The First National Bank of Olive, 1929 $10 Type 1, PCGS Currency VF30PPQ, one of the two finest of nine small-sized notes known from the town;
  • Oilfields National Bank of Brea, 1929 $5 Type 2, PCGS Currency Choice About New 58PPQ;
  • and an uncut, six-subject, serial number 1 sheet of Anaheim First National Bank 1929 $20 Type 1 notes, PCGS Currency About New 58 PPQ.
David Pannier remembers his thoughts the first time he saw the huge gold nugget that his brother purchased about eight years ago: “My God! You can’t put that in a necklace!” The impressive nugget was displayed at the coin store for years, but when Willie Pannier became ill early in 2010 he took it home and used it as a paper weight, according to his brother. “He liked to look at it and admire it.”



Photo Caption: Nicknamed “The Fullerton Boulder,” this 34.705 ounce gold nugget (photographed next to a quarter-dollar for size perspective) is one of the highlights of the William Pannier Collection to be offered in an auction by Ira & Larry Goldberg Coins & Collectibles, January 31 – February 2, 2011. Photo credit: Lyle Engelson for Ira & Larry Goldberg Coins & Collectibles

“This is the largest gold nugget we’ve ever offered for sale in our 50 years in numismatics. It weighs 34.705 ounces,” said Larry Goldberg.

The Fullerton Coin & Stamp Co. opened in 1961 and will mark its 50th year in 2011. William Pannier bought the store in 1976. After he died of cancer in August, Manley acquired the store and reopened it.

“There was only one Willie. He was a very special, one-of-a-kind person who transcended from another era. I brought him to the American Numismatic Association for the first time in 2003 to attend the renaming of the library in my honor. He was an important part of many people’s lives including mine and my children’s. We will always love him,” said Manley.

Lot viewing for the auction will be conducted January 24 – February 2, 2011 at the Beverly Hills, California offices of Ira & Larry Goldberg Coins & Collectibles, 350 South Beverly Dr., Suite 350. The auction will be conducted at the Crowne Plaza Beverly Hills Hotel, 1150 South Beverly Dr., January 31 – February 2.

For additional information about the collection and other coin and bank note items in the auction, contact Ira & Larry Goldberg Coins & Collectibles by phone at (800) 978-2646, by email at info@GoldbergCoins.com or visit online at www.GoldbergCoins.com.

About the Author

Ira and Larry Goldberg have been in the coins and collectibles business for over 35 years and are leaders in their field. Their grandfather founded the prominent Superior Stamp and Coin Company in Beverly Hills in 1931, and Goldberg Coins & Collectibles of Beverly Hills, California, has been setting records and upholding the family tradition of excellence and expertise since 1969. http://www.goldbergcoins.com

Tags: Banknotes, California Banknotes, currency, Currency Auction, Dwight Manley, Goldbergs, William Pannier




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BNP Paribas Looks For Gold To Average $1,500 In 2011




30 November 2010, 3:30 p.m.
By Kitco News
http://www.kitco.com/




(Kitco News) - BNP Paribas has raised its average 2011 gold-price forecast to $1,500 an ounce and looks for the metal to average $1,600 in 2012, the bank said in a research report issued Tuesday.

Gold hit a record $1,424 an ounce on Nov. 9 before retrenching and is now rising again.

“Interest in the metal is broad-based,” BNP Paribas said. The bank cited safe-haven flows prompted by euro-zone debt worries and also noted the official sector “continues to be an active buyer of gold.” Meanwhile, the jewelry sector entered its seasonally strong quarter in October. Furthermore, economic growth, particularly in emerging markets, is supportive of industrial demand for gold, said BNP Paribas.

“Despite the recent price correction, market sentiment remains positive for
gold over a two-year horizon,” BNP said. “A number of factors are supportive of an upward trend in price, including increasing uncertainty regarding the role of
the USD (U.S. dollar) within the international monetary system, concerns related to the stability of peripheral euro-zone countries and growing inflationary pressures in Asian emerging markets, particularly China.”

BNP Paribas listed a number of factors creating a “favorable” environment for gold, starting with increased liquidity. Early this month, the Federal Reserve announced a second round of quantitative easing, in which the central bank will buy Treasury securities in a bid to push down long-term interest rates. This came against a backdrop of “already loose global monetary policy,” BNP said.

The bank cited a generally weaker dollar trend (despite recent greenback gains against the euro), as well as rising inflationary expectations as positive factors for gold.

“Lifting inflation expectations is one of the main objectives of the Federal Reserve,” BNP Paribas said. “This is because the Fed appears uncomfortable with declining price pressures in the U.S. economy once energy and food prices are removed.”

BNP also pointed to some “uncertainty” surrounding the international monetary system due to pronounced swings in the value of the dollar, which has been the system’s cornerstone since World War II.

“Episodes of broad-based depreciation of the USD, the global reserve currency, are making investors and foreign governments alike nervous,” BNP said. “Their concerns have been heightened as a large U.S. fiscal deficit and debt position have come to be accompanied by very loose monetary policy and the adoption of unconventional measures in the form of quantitative easing to tackle domestic issues of high unemployment and low price pressures.”

Thus, the role of the dollar as a reserve currency has been increasingly questioned, although for now, there does not appear to be another readily available fiat currency as a substitute, BNP said.

“While gold’s attributes make it an attractive alternative, the current size of the market and the growth rate of supply may prove to be a limiting factor to a return to a full gold standard,” BNP said. “So while central-bank buying interest in gold is likely to continue, purchases will likely be confined to maintaining a share of gold in countries’ reserves, the size of the gold market being too small for a full conversion.”

By Allen Sykora of Kitco News; asykora@kitco.com





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Gold will Head to 1480-1525 before a Major Correction




By David Banister
Nov 30 2010 11:41AM
http://www.markettrendforecast.com/




Excerpted from TMTF November 28th:

Gold has been consolidating other than a spike to an intermediate wave 3 top of $1424, for about 7 weeks or so now. It’s typical to see Fibonacci periods of time as part of consolidations whether it be an individual stock or a precious metal in this case. Gold was overbought at the $1425 pivot highs a few weeks ago, and that terminated what I label a “wave 3″pattern. This led us into a 4th wave corrective pattern which we remain in now. My worst case pivot low is expected at $1,321 and so far we have seen $1,331 an ounce and then an ensuing bounce to $1370 ranges.

In the intermediate term then, I’m looking for further consolidation likely for another week or so followed by a breakout over $1425 leading to my objectives of $1480-$1525 to complete the entire rally from the $1040 lows in February of this year. Many are starting to get bearish on Gold and Silver up here, and to me that is bullish and indicative of “4th wave mentality”. In a 4th wave, there is growing bearish sentiment, but not so much as to topple the bull structure.

To wit, last week in my ATP service I recommended a brand new Core Position in the Gold,Silver area and it rallied as much as 40% intra-week at it’s highs. We are in a super bull market for Gold stocks as I outlined in August of 2009, and we have another four years left to go. I’m seeing alot of amazing chart patterns in the Junior space that are in relentless climbs. Owning the the explorers that are finding the Gold is how best to take advantage of the remaining four years. At ATP, we are exposed to Rare Earths, Silver, Gold, and Oil and Gas related plays in our Core Positions. Make sure you own hard assets and precious metals resources one way or another. My silver forecast in late August was basically predicated on the small investor swarming into the Silver market to buy up coins, look for that to continue and Silver to be over $30 in the not too distant future.

Below is my updated Gold forecast using a weekly chart, remember to Keep it Simple!




You can follow our weekly updates or consider subscribing by going to www.markettrendforecast.com

David Banister



****

David Banister uses his unique methods of forecasting major market turns in addition to Gold, Oil, Sectors, and individual stocks with counter-intuitive methods he has developed over twenty years of investing.




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